Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region

Abstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around...

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Main Authors: Sumitra Iyer, Alka Mahajan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-08-01
Series:Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-021-00007-x
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author Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
author_facet Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
author_sort Sumitra Iyer
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around the world at various temporal and spatial scales and using them for advanced forecasting of TEC. The TEC can be used as a tool in understanding space weather phenomena such as geomagnetic storms which cause disruptions in the ionosphere. This paper examines the causal relationship between perturbations in TEC caused by geomagnetic storms. The causality between two geomagnetic indices auroral electrojet (AE) and disturbed storm index (Dst) and TEC is investigated using Granger causality at two low-latitude stations, Bangalore and Hyderabad. The outcomes of this study strengthen the regional understanding and modeling of ionospheric parameters which can contribute towards the global efforts for modeling and reducing the ionospheric effects on trans-ionospheric communication and navigation. The causal inferences combined with the data-driven model can be useful in identifying the correct and informative physical quantities to improve the forecasting models.
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spelling doaj.art-fb62484124fa4e459954574ae6b12e3b2022-12-21T19:22:11ZengSpringerOpenJournal of Engineering and Applied Science1110-19032536-95122021-08-0168112510.1186/s44147-021-00007-xGranger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial regionSumitra Iyer0Alka Mahajan1Department of Electronics and Communication, Nirma Institute of TechnologyMukesh Patel School of Technology Management & EngineeringAbstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around the world at various temporal and spatial scales and using them for advanced forecasting of TEC. The TEC can be used as a tool in understanding space weather phenomena such as geomagnetic storms which cause disruptions in the ionosphere. This paper examines the causal relationship between perturbations in TEC caused by geomagnetic storms. The causality between two geomagnetic indices auroral electrojet (AE) and disturbed storm index (Dst) and TEC is investigated using Granger causality at two low-latitude stations, Bangalore and Hyderabad. The outcomes of this study strengthen the regional understanding and modeling of ionospheric parameters which can contribute towards the global efforts for modeling and reducing the ionospheric effects on trans-ionospheric communication and navigation. The causal inferences combined with the data-driven model can be useful in identifying the correct and informative physical quantities to improve the forecasting models.https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-021-00007-xGeomagnetic stormIonosphereTotal electron contentGlobal Positioning SystemGranger causalityCointegration
spellingShingle Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Geomagnetic storm
Ionosphere
Total electron content
Global Positioning System
Granger causality
Cointegration
title Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_full Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_fullStr Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_full_unstemmed Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_short Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_sort granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
topic Geomagnetic storm
Ionosphere
Total electron content
Global Positioning System
Granger causality
Cointegration
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-021-00007-x
work_keys_str_mv AT sumitraiyer grangercausalityanalysisofdeviationintotalelectroncontentduringgeomagneticstormsintheequatorialregion
AT alkamahajan grangercausalityanalysisofdeviationintotalelectroncontentduringgeomagneticstormsintheequatorialregion