Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Bayesian truth serum (BTS) is an exciting new method for improvi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pickard, Galen, Frank, Morgan Ryan, Cebrian, Manuel, Rahwan, Iyad
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Format: Article
Published: Public Library of Science 2018
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113265
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9487-9359
_version_ 1826204274815664128
author Pickard, Galen
Frank, Morgan Ryan
Cebrian, Manuel
Rahwan, Iyad
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Pickard, Galen
Frank, Morgan Ryan
Cebrian, Manuel
Rahwan, Iyad
author_sort Pickard, Galen
collection MIT
description This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Bayesian truth serum (BTS) is an exciting new method for improving honesty and information quality in multiple-choice survey, but, despite the method's mathematical reliance on large sample sizes, existing literature about BTS only focuses on small experiments. Combined with the prevalence of online survey platforms, such as Amazon's Mechanical Turk, which facilitate surveys with hundreds or thousands of participants, BTS must be effective in large-scale experiments for BTS to become a readily accepted tool in real-world applications. We demonstrate that BTS quantifiably improves honesty in large-scale online surveys where the "honest" distribution of answers is known in expectation on aggregate. Furthermore, we explore a marketing application where "honest" answers cannot be known, but find that BTS treatment impacts the resulting distributions of answers.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T12:51:42Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/113265
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
last_indexed 2024-09-23T12:51:42Z
publishDate 2018
publisher Public Library of Science
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1132652022-10-01T11:36:15Z Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments Pickard, Galen Frank, Morgan Ryan Cebrian, Manuel Rahwan, Iyad Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory Frank, Morgan Ryan Cebrian, Manuel Rahwan, Iyad This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Bayesian truth serum (BTS) is an exciting new method for improving honesty and information quality in multiple-choice survey, but, despite the method's mathematical reliance on large sample sizes, existing literature about BTS only focuses on small experiments. Combined with the prevalence of online survey platforms, such as Amazon's Mechanical Turk, which facilitate surveys with hundreds or thousands of participants, BTS must be effective in large-scale experiments for BTS to become a readily accepted tool in real-world applications. We demonstrate that BTS quantifiably improves honesty in large-scale online surveys where the "honest" distribution of answers is known in expectation on aggregate. Furthermore, we explore a marketing application where "honest" answers cannot be known, but find that BTS treatment impacts the resulting distributions of answers. 2018-01-22T20:31:10Z 2018-01-22T20:31:10Z 2017-05 2016-11 2018-01-19T18:52:11Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1932-6203 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113265 Frank, Morgan R. et al. “Validating Bayesian Truth Serum in Large-Scale Online Human Experiments.” Edited by Chuhsing Kate Hsiao. PLOS ONE 12, 5 (May 2017): e0177385 © 2017 Frank et al https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9487-9359 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0177385 PLOS ONE Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 application/pdf Public Library of Science PLoS
spellingShingle Pickard, Galen
Frank, Morgan Ryan
Cebrian, Manuel
Rahwan, Iyad
Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title_full Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title_fullStr Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title_full_unstemmed Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title_short Validating Bayesian truth serum in large-scale online human experiments
title_sort validating bayesian truth serum in large scale online human experiments
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/113265
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9487-9359
work_keys_str_mv AT pickardgalen validatingbayesiantruthseruminlargescaleonlinehumanexperiments
AT frankmorganryan validatingbayesiantruthseruminlargescaleonlinehumanexperiments
AT cebrianmanuel validatingbayesiantruthseruminlargescaleonlinehumanexperiments
AT rahwaniyad validatingbayesiantruthseruminlargescaleonlinehumanexperiments