Quantifying the Lead Time Required for a Linear Trend to Emerge from Natural Climate Variability

Quantifying the Lead Time Required for a Linear Trend to Emerge from Natural Climate Variability

This study introduces a simple analytic expression for calculating the lead time required for a linear trend to emerge in a Gaussian first-order autoregressive process. The expression is derived from the standard error of the regression and is tested using the NCAR Community Earth System Model Large...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Li, Jingyuan, Thompson, David W. J., Barnes, Elizabeth A., Solomon, Susan
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Published: American Meteorological Society 2018
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/117019
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581

Internet

http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/117019
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581

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