Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

<jats:title>Significance</jats:title> <jats:p>This paper compares the probabilistic accuracy of short-term forecasts of reported deaths due to COVID-19 during the first year and a half of the pandemic in the United States. Results show high variation in accuracy between...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Shah, Devavrat
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2022
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/143879