Forecasting Equity Volatility Dynamics with Markov-Switching EGARCH Models

Understanding and anticipating stock market volatility enables better portfolio management. We forecast US equity volatility with a Markov-Switching EGARCH model with one high and one low volatility regime. We show that this model contains similar information about future volatility as the VIX Index...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Dennis-Sharma, Tyson
Other Authors: Kogan, Leonid
Format: Thesis
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2024
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/153697