Prognosis of Component Degradation Under Uncertainty: A Method for Early Stage Design of a Complex Engineering System

This paper proposes a method that dynamically improves a statistical model of system degradation by incorporating uncertainty. The method is illustrated by a case example of fouling, or degradation, in a heat exchanger in a cogeneration desalination plant. The goal of the proposed method is to selec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yu, Bo Yang, Honda, Tomonori, Zak, Gina M., Mitsos, Alexander, Mistry, Karan Hemant, Zubair, Syed, Sharqawy, Mostafa H., Antar, Mohamed Abdelkerim, Yang, Maria, Lienhard, John H
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Mechanical Engineering
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Society of Mechanical Engineers 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/97594
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2901-0638
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7776-3423
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2365-1378
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7891-1187