Signal and noise in regime systems: A hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation
Studies conducted by the UK Met Office reported significant skill in predicting the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index with their seasonal prediction system. At the same time, a very low signal‐to‐noise ratio was observed, as measured using the “ratio of predictable components” (RPC) metr...
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| Format: | Journal article |
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Royal Meteorological Society
2018
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