Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data

A key challenge for public health policy makers is determining when an infectious disease outbreak has finished. Following a period without cases, an estimate of the probability that no further cases will occur in future (the end-of-outbreak probability) can be used to inform whether or not to decla...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awduron: Bradbury, NV, Hart, WS, Lovell-Read, FA, Polonsky, JA, Thompson, RN
Fformat: Journal article
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Royal Society 2023