Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data
A key challenge for public health policy makers is determining when an infectious disease outbreak has finished. Following a period without cases, an estimate of the probability that no further cases will occur in future (the end-of-outbreak probability) can be used to inform whether or not to decla...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| 格式: | Journal article |
| 语言: | English |
| 出版: |
Royal Society
2023
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