How good are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?
This paper compares annual one-year-ahead and five-year-ahead forecasts from government agencies for the U.S. gross federal debt and deficit from 1984 to 2013. Other studies have compared two of these agencies' forecasts, but not for debt. The current paper finds that the forecast from the An...
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| Format: | Working paper |
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University of Oxford
2014
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