On not evaluating economic models by forecast outcomes

On not evaluating economic models by forecast outcomes

Taispeáin leaganacha eile (2)

Even in scientific disciplines, forecast failures occur. Four possible states of nature (a model is good or bad, and it forecasts well or badly) are examined using a forecast-error taxonomy, which traces the many possible sources of forecast errors. This analysis shows that a valid model can forec...

Cur síos iomlán

Sonraí bibleagrafaíochta
Príomhchruthaitheoirí:	Castle, J, Hendry, D
Formáid:	Working paper
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe:	University of Oxford 2011

Míreanna comhchosúla

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