Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

Show other versions (1)

Summary statistics, often derived from simplified models of epidemic spread, inform public health policy in real time. The instantaneous reproduction number, R<sub>t</sub>, is predominant among these statistics, measuring the average ability of an infection to multiply. However, R<sub...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awduron:	Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA
Fformat:	Journal article
Iaith:	English
Cyhoeddwyd:	Wiley 2022

Eitemau Tebyg

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
gan: Parag, KV, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2021)

Authors’ reply to the discussion of ‘Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?’ by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special Topic Meeting on COVID-19 Transmission: 9 June 2021
gan: Parag, KV, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022)

Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers
gan: Parag, K, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022)

Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers.
gan: Kris V Parag, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-04-01)

Global variation in early epidemic growth rates and reproduction number of seasonal influenza
gan: Rory Thompson, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-09-01)

Estimating epidemic exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number
gan: Junling Ma
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020-01-01)

Adaptive estimation for epidemic renewal and phylogenetic skyline models
gan: Parag, KV, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020)

Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number
gan: Oliver Eales, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-09-01)

Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves.
gan: Kris V Parag
Cyhoeddwyd: (2021-09-01)

A comparative analysis of statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number in emerging epidemics with implications for the current COVID-19 pandemic
gan: O'Driscoll, M, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020)

'More than just the numbers'
gan: Tang, Ashley, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020)

Using information theory to optimise epidemic models for real-time prediction and estimation.
gan: Kris V Parag, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020-07-01)

Differences between the true reproduction number and the apparent reproduction number of an epidemic time series
gan: Oliver Eales, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2024-03-01)

Basic Reproduction Number (R0), Doubling Time, and Daily Growth Rate of the COVID-19 Epidemic: An Echological Study
gan: Roya Karimi, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2024-09-01)

Instantaneous reproduction number and epidemic growth rate for predicting COVID-19 waves: the first 2 years of the pandemic in Spain
gan: Javier Llorca, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2023-09-01)

Stochastic modelling of African swine fever in wild boar and domestic pigs: epidemic forecasting and comparison of disease management strategies
gan: Dankwa, EA, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022)

Host behaviour driven by awareness of infection risk amplifies the chance of superspreading events
gan: Parag, KV, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2024)

Intersecting HIV and mpox epidemics: more questions than answers
gan: Nicolo Girometti, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-12-01)

More than just numbers: Suicide rates and the economic cycle in Portugal (1910–2013)
gan: João Pereira dos Santos, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2016-12-01)

New Insights into the Estimation of Reproduction Numbers during an Epidemic
gan: Giovanni Sebastiani, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-10-01)

Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic.
gan: Christophe Fraser
Cyhoeddwyd: (2007-01-01)

Estimating the reproductive number, total outbreak size, and reporting rates for Zika epidemics in South and Central America
gan: Deborah P. Shutt, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2017-12-01)

Reproductive medicine: still more ART than science?
gan: Wilkinson, J, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2018)

Museum Restitutions are More Than Just the Sum of Their Numbers
gan: Lynda Albertson
Cyhoeddwyd: (2023-07-01)

Computation of the basic reproduction numbers for reaction-diffusion epidemic models
gan: Chayu Yang, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2023-07-01)

Is xenodontine snake reproduction shaped by ancestry, more than by ecology?
gan: Gisela P. Bellini, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2017-01-01)

Platelets in dengue infection: more than a numbers game
gan: Anna Cecíllia Quirino-Teixeira, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-02-01)

Estimation methods of reproduction numbers for epidemics of varying strains of COVID-19
gan: Siying Xiong, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2024-12-01)

Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks
gan: Wajid Ali, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2024-09-01)

The Dynamic Effective Reproductive Number of COVID-19 during the Epidemic in Iran
gan: Amin Doosti-Irani, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-04-01)

The basic reproduction number as a predictor for epidemic outbreaks in temporal networks.
gan: Petter Holme, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2015-01-01)

Studies on the basic reproduction number in stochastic epidemic models with random perturbations
gan: Andrés Ríos-Gutiérrez, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2021-06-01)

A Mental Odd-Even Continuum Account: Some Numbers May Be “More Odd” Than Others and Some Numbers May Be “More Even” Than Others
gan: Lia Heubner, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2018-06-01)

Epidemic ribotypes of Clostridium (now Clostridioides) difficile are likely to be more virulent than non-epidemic ribotypes in animal models
gan: John C. Vitucci, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2020-02-01)

Bacterial metabolic state more accurately predicts antibiotic lethality than growth rate
gan: Lopatkin, Allison J, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2021)

Risk averse reproduction numbers improve resurgence detection.
gan: Kris V Parag, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2023-07-01)

Corrigendum: A Mental Odd-Even Continuum Account: Some Numbers May Be “More Odd” Than Others and Some Numbers May Be “More Even” Than Others
gan: Lia Heubner, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2019-08-01)

Verbal probabilities: Very likely to be somewhat more confusing than numbers.
gan: Bonnie C Wintle, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2019-01-01)

Church decline: A comparative investigation assessing more than numbers
gan: Ignatius W. Ferreira, et al.
Cyhoeddwyd: (2021-01-01)

The Basic Reproduction Number for the Markovian SIR-Type Epidemic Models: Comparison and Consistency
gan: Muteb Faraj Alharthi
Cyhoeddwyd: (2022-01-01)