On the relationship between reliability diagrams and the ‘signal-to-noise paradox’
The ‘signal-to-noise paradox’ for seasonal forecasts of the winter NAO is often described as an ‘underconfident’ forecast and measured using the ratio-of-predictable components metric (RPC). However, comparison of RPC with other measures of forecast confidence, such as spread-error ratios, can give...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
American Geophysical Union
2023
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