Inaccurate forecasting of a randomized controlled trial

We report the results of a forecasting experiment about a randomized controlled trial that was conducted in the field. The experiment asks Ph.D. students, faculty, and policy practitioners to forecast (1) compliance rates for the RCT and (2) treatment effects of the intervention. The forecasting exp...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ahrenshop, M, Golden, M, Gulzar, S, Sonnet, L
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2023