Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction

Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awduron:	Palmer, T, Shutts, G, Hagedorn, R, Doblas-Reyes, E, Jung, T, Leutbecher, M
Fformat:	Journal article
Cyhoeddwyd:	2005

Eitemau Tebyg

A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
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Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction.
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Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model.
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Predictability of weather and climate /
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Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
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Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications.
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Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of North Pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model
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ALLEVIATION OF A SYSTEMATIC WESTERLY BIAS IN GENERAL-CIRCULATION AND NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS THROUGH AN OROGRAPHIC GRAVITY-WAVE DRAG PARAMETRIZATION
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Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
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Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
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The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination
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The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - I. Basic concept
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Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles.
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Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
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Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
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Single precision in weather forecasting models: An evaluation with the IFS
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Using numerical weather prediction to assess climate models
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ESSO ENERGY AWARD LECTURE, 1986 - ADVANCES IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION FOR AVIATION FORECASTING
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Developments in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agricultural management
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Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models
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Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts
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Stochastic weather and climate models
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SINGULAR VECTORS AND THE PREDICTABILITY OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE
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A forecast quality assessment of an end-to-end probabilistic multi-model seasonal forecast system using a malaria model
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Stochastic modelling and energy-efficient computing for weather and climate prediction.
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Representing model uncertainty in multi‐annual predictions
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Convective forcing fluctuations in a cloud-resolving model: Relevance to the stochastic parameterization problem
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Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
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Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts Reply
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Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts
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Towards a unified approach to climate and weather prediction
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Singular vectors, predictability and ensemble forecasting for weather and climate
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Ensemble superparameterization versus stochastic parameterization: A comparison of model uncertainty representation in tropical weather prediction
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Uncertainty in the Representation of Orography in Weather and Climate Models and Implications for Parameterized Drag
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Posits as an alternative to floats for weather and climate models
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Predictability of weather and climate: From theory to practice - From days to decades
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On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe
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Assessment of extreme flows and uncertainty under climate change: disentangling the uncertainty contribution of representative concentration pathways, global climate models and internal climate variability
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Predictability of Weather and Climate
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