Forecasting Economic Processes.

When the assumption of constant parameters fails, the in-sample fit of a model may be a poor guide to ex-ante forecast performance. We expound a number of models, methods, and procedures that illustrate the impacts of structural breaks on forecast accuracy, and evaluate ways of improving forecast pe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Clements, M, Hendry, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 1998