Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice

The American Planning Association recently endorsed a new forecasting method called reference class forecasting, which is based on theories of planning and decision-making that won the 2002 Nobel prize in economics. This paper details the method and describes the first instance of reference class fo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Flyvbjerg, B
Format: Journal article
Published: Routledge 2008