Evaluating volatility and interval forecasts.
A widely used approach to evaluating volatility forecasts uses a regression framework which measures the bias and variance of the forecast. We show that the associated test for bias is inappropriate before introducing a more suitable procedure which is based on the test for bias in a conditional mea...
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
1999
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