An Empirical Study of Seasonal Unit Roots in Forecasting.
We assess the usefulness of pre-testing for seasonal roots, based on the HEGY approach, for out-of-sample forecasting. It is shown that if there are shifts in the deterministic seasonal components then the imposition of unit roots can partially robustify sequences of rolling forecasts, yielding impr...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
1997
|