An Empirical Study of Seasonal Unit Roots in Forecasting.

We assess the usefulness of pre-testing for seasonal roots, based on the HEGY approach, for out-of-sample forecasting. It is shown that if there are shifts in the deterministic seasonal components then the imposition of unit roots can partially robustify sequences of rolling forecasts, yielding impr...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Clements, M, Hendry, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 1997