The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity and implications for price inflation in 2022

We model UK price and wage inflation, productivity and unemployment over a century and a half of data, selecting dynamics, relevant variables, non-linearities and location and trend shifts us¬ing indicator saturation estimation. The four congruent econometric equations highlight complex int...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Castle, JL, Hendry, DF, Martinez, AB
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: University of Oxford 2022