Econometric modelling of changing time series

We model expenditure on food in the USA, using an extended time series. Even when a theory is essentially 'correct', it can manifest serious mis-specification if just fitted to data, ignoring its observed characteristics and major external events such as wars, recessions and policy change...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hendry, D, Mizon, G
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2010