Econometric modelling of changing time series
We model expenditure on food in the USA, using an extended time series. Even when a theory is essentially 'correct', it can manifest serious mis-specification if just fitted to data, ignoring its observed characteristics and major external events such as wars, recessions and policy change...
Main Authors: | Hendry, D, Mizon, G |
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Format: | Working paper |
Published: |
University of Oxford
2010
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