Official forecasts and management of oil windfalls

Official forecasts for oil revenues and the burden of pensioners are used to estimate forward-looking fiscal policy rules for Norway and compared with permanent-income and bird-in-hand rules. The results suggest that fiscal reactions have been partial forward-looking with respect to the rising pensi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Van der Ploeg, R, Harding, T
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2009