Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics
Flow-dependent spread (FDS) is a desirable characteristic of probabilistic forecasts; ensemble spread should represent the expected forecast error. However this is difficult to estimate for seasonal hindcasts as they tend to have a relatively small sample size. Here we use a long (110 year) seasonal...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal article |
| Publicado: |
Royal Meteorological Society
2018
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