Diagnostic expectations and credit cycles

We present a model of credit cycles arising from diagnostic expectations – a belief formation mechanism based on Kahneman and Tversky’s (1972) representativeness heuristic. Diagnostic expectations overweight future outcomes that become more likely in light of incoming data. The expectations formatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bordalo, P, Gennaioli, N, Shleifer, A
Format: Journal article
Published: Wiley 2018