The Dynamics of Economic Functions: Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve.

The class of Functional Signal plus Noise (FSN) models is introduced that provides a new, general method for modelling and forecasting time series of economic functions. The underlying, continuous economic function (or ‘signal’) is a natural cubic spline whose dynamic evolution is driven by a cointe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bowsher, C, Meeks, R
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Oxford Finance 2008