Reliability of decadal predictions

The reliability of multi-year predictions of climate is assessed using probabilistic Attributes Diagrams for near-surface air temperature and sea surface temperature, based on 54 member ensembles of initialised decadal hindcasts using the ECMWF coupled model. It is shown that the reliability from th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Corti, S, Weisheimer, A, Palmer, T, Doblas-Reyes, F, Magnusson, L
Format: Journal article
Published: 2012