Policy analysis, forediction, and forecast failure
Economic policy agencies accompany forecasts with narratives, a combination we call foredictions, often basing policy changes on developments envisaged. Forecast failure need not impugn a forecasting model, although it may, but almost inevitably entails forediction failure and invalidity of the asso...
| Hlavní autoři: | , , |
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| Médium: | Working paper |
| Vydáno: |
University of Oxford
2016
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