Gittins' theorem under uncertainty

We study dynamic allocation problems for discrete time multi-armed bandits under uncertainty, based on the the theory of nonlinear expectations. We show that, under independence assumption on the bandits and with some relaxation in the definition of optimality, a Gittins allocation index gives optim...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Cohen, SN, Treetanthiploet, T
Formato: Journal article
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Bernoulli Society 2022
Descrição
Resumo:We study dynamic allocation problems for discrete time multi-armed bandits under uncertainty, based on the the theory of nonlinear expectations. We show that, under independence assumption on the bandits and with some relaxation in the definition of optimality, a Gittins allocation index gives optimal choices. This involves studying the interaction of our uncertainty with controls which determine the filtration. We also run a simple numerical example which illustrates the interaction between the willingness to explore and uncertainty aversion of the agent when making decisions.