Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

The relative merits of three forecast systems addressing the impact of model uncertainty on seasonal/annual forecasts are described. One system consists of a multi-model, whereas two other systems sample uncertainties by perturbing the parametrization of reference models through perturbed parameter...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Doblas-Reyes, F, Weisheimer, A, Deque, M, Keenlyside, N, McVean, M, Murphy, J, Rogel, P, Smith, D, Palmer, T
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2009