Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

The relative merits of three forecast systems addressing the impact of model uncertainty on seasonal/annual forecasts are described. One system consists of a multi-model, whereas two other systems sample uncertainties by perturbing the parametrization of reference models through perturbed parameter...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Doblas-Reyes, F, Weisheimer, A, Deque, M, Keenlyside, N, McVean, M, Murphy, J, Rogel, P, Smith, D, Palmer, T
Format:	Journal article
Language:	English
Published:	2009

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