Improved ENSO forecasting using Bayesian updating and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)
This study assesses the forecast skill of eight North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) models in predicting Niño-3/-3.4 indices and improves their skill using Bayesian updating (BU). The forecast skill that is obtained using the ensemble mean of NMME (NMME-EM) shows a strong dependence on lead (i...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Published: |
American Meteorological Society
2017
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