Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion of stochastic schemes to represent model uncertainties has improved the probabilistic skill of the ECMWF ensemble by increasing reliability and reducing the error of the en...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Leutbecher, M, Lock, S, Ollinaho, P, Lang, S, Balsamo, G, Bechtold, P, Bonavita, M, Christensen, H, Diamantakis, M, Dutra, E, English, S, Fisher, M, Forbes, R, Goddard, J, Haiden, T, Hogan, R, Juricke, S, Lawrence, H, MacLeod, D, Magnusson, L, Malardel, S, Massart, S, Sandu, I, Smolarkiewicz, P, Subramanian, A, Vitart, F, Wedi, N, Weisheimer, A
Format: Journal article
Published: Wiley 2017

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